BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairbank Wapsie Valley

Class: 1A Class Rank: 9 Conference: NICL Record: (11-12-0) Overall: (76-30-0) Overall Strength =   71.99

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-31-2001 Home    W *    54.15  14   6   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                 -17.67     25.67                      
 2 09-07-2001 Away    L *    54.59   0   7   2A 34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                -17.23     10.23                      
 3 09-14-2001 Home    W      70.51  28   0   1A 51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett              -1.31     29.31                      
 4 09-21-2001 Away    W   *  72.06  21   0   1A 42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue                0.24     20.76                      
 5 09-28-2001 Away    W      63.33  14   0    A 30 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     -8.49     22.49                      
 6 10-05-2001 Home    W      98.34  55   7    A 28 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central        26.51     21.49                      
 7 10-12-2001 Home    W   *  83.43  34   8   1A 28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   11.61     14.39                      
 8 10-19-2001 Away    W   *  86.70  45   0   1A 55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn             14.88     30.12                      
 9 10-26-2001 Home    W      78.09  50   0    8 42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton               6.27     43.73                      
10 10-31-2001 Home    W      49.28  17  14    A 30 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -22.55     25.55                      
11 11-05-2001 Away    L *    51.14   0  34   1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP          -20.68    -13.32                      
12 09-06-2002 Away    W *    68.21  31  12   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  -3.62     22.62                      
13 09-13-2002 Home    W      89.42  31   0   ZZ 28 ( 17- 12-  0) Sumner                 17.60     13.40                      
14 09-20-2002 Home    W      73.32  20  13    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman       1.50      5.50                      
15 09-27-2002 Away    W      97.10  50   0    A 33 ( 30- 62-  0) Rockford               25.28     24.72                      
16 10-04-2002 Away    L      69.73  21  25   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar           -2.10     -1.90                      
17 10-11-2002 Home    L   *  64.40  21  26   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley          -7.42      2.42                      
18 10-18-2002 Home    W *    65.53  14   7   2A 34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                 -6.29     13.29                      
19 10-25-2002 Away    W      95.39  42   0    A 28 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central        23.57     18.43                      
20 11-01-2002 Home    W      86.05  47   0   ZZ 56 ( 34- 50-  0) Cedar Falls NU         14.23     32.77                      
21 09-05-2003 Home    L *    44.15  12  14   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                 -27.67     25.67                      
22 09-12-2003 Away    W      71.48  24  14   ZZ 28 ( 17- 12-  0) Sumner                 -0.34     10.34                      
23 09-19-2003 Away    L      57.37   0  12    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman     -14.45      2.45                      
24 09-26-2003 Home    W      62.05  34  16    A 33 ( 30- 62-  0) Rockford               -9.77     27.77                      
25 10-03-2003 Home    L      55.67   6  21   1A  8 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar          -16.15      1.15                      
26 10-10-2003 Away    W   *  73.46  22  21   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley           1.64     -0.64                      
27 10-17-2003 Away    L *    59.59   7   9   2A 34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                -12.23     10.23                      
28 10-24-2003 Home    W      73.34  29   6    A 28 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central         1.51     21.49                      
29 10-31-2003 Away    W      97.11  55   0   ZZ 56 ( 34- 50-  0) Cedar Falls NU         25.29     29.71                      
30 09-03-2004 Away    W     109.37  40   0    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman      37.55      2.45                      
31 09-10-2004 Home    L *    81.09  20  21 1 1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP            9.27    -10.27                      
32 09-17-2004 Away    L *    70.12  20  21 1 1A 15 ( 72- 28-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     -1.70      0.70                      
33 09-24-2004 Home    L *    62.59  14  24   1A  7 ( 75- 34-  0) Dike-New Hartford      -9.23     -0.77                      
34 10-01-2004 Home    L      47.31  12  18 2 1A 34 ( 37- 55-  0) Nashua-Plainfield     -24.51     18.51                      
35 10-08-2004 Away    W *    56.21  13   6   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                 -15.62     22.62                      
36 10-15-2004 Away    L   *  53.46   0  19   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley         -18.36     -0.64                      
37 10-22-2004 Home    W *    94.90  50   7   1A 39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                 23.08     19.92                      
38 10-29-2004 Away    L *    60.59  16  17   2A 34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                -11.23     10.23                      
39 09-02-2005 Home    L      61.32   7  12    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman     -10.50      5.50                      
40 09-09-2005 Away    L *    60.14  21  46   1A  3 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP          -11.68    -13.32                      
41 09-16-2005 Home    L *    54.07   7  21   1A 15 ( 72- 28-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck    -17.75      3.75                      
42 09-23-2005 Away    L *    52.64  12  35   1A  7 ( 75- 34-  0) Dike-New Hartford     -19.18     -3.82                      
43 09-30-2005 Away    L      40.36  12  28   1A 34 ( 37- 55-  0) Nashua-Plainfield     -31.46     15.46                      
44 10-07-2005 Home    W *   108.15  68   6   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  36.33     25.67                      
45 10-14-2005 Home    W   *  91.40  28   6   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley          19.58      2.42                      
46 10-21-2005 Away    W *    88.95  40   6   1A 39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                 17.13     16.87                      
47 10-28-2005 Home    L *    53.53  14  19   2A 34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                -18.29     13.29                      
48 09-01-2006 Away    W      76.46  25   7    8 12 ( 49- 44-  0) Riceville               4.64     13.36                      
49 09-08-2006 Home    W      75.09  47   0    8 42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton               3.27     43.73                      
50 09-15-2006 Away    W      91.23  33   6    A 11 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           19.41      7.59                      
51 09-22-2006 Home    W      73.41  34   0    8 27 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli                 1.59     32.41                      
52 09-29-2006 Away    W      86.17  71   8    8 52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland        14.35     48.65                      
53 10-06-2006 Away    W      62.57  28  26 1  A 15 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              -9.26     11.26                      
54 10-13-2006 Home    W      66.78  26   0    8 23 ( 53- 44-  0) Maynard West Central   -5.04     31.04                      
55 10-20-2006 Away    W      68.63  21   0    8 20 ( 45- 47-  0) Lansing Kee            -3.19     24.19                      
56 10-27-2006 Home    W      93.67  48   7    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan          21.85     19.15                      
57 11-01-2006 Home    W      71.52  20   0    A 25 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 -0.30     20.30                      
58 11-06-2006 Away    W      65.57  19  14    A 15 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              -6.26     11.26                      
59 11-11-2006 Neutral W      83.93  43  14    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             12.11     16.89                      
60 11-17-2006 Neutral L      44.18  13  33   ZZ 21 ( 38- 29-  0) Manilla IKM           -27.64      7.64                      
61 08-31-2007 Home    W      88.41  39   6    8 12 ( 49- 44-  0) Riceville              16.59     16.41                      
62 09-07-2007 Away    W      78.15  47   0    8 42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton               6.32     40.68                      
63 09-14-2007 Home    W      98.18  37   0    A 11 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           26.36     10.64                      
64 09-21-2007 Away    W      63.47  28   7    8 27 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli                -8.36     29.36                      
65 09-28-2007 Home    W      45.12  39  14    8 52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland       -26.70     51.70  non-district        
66 10-05-2007 Home    W      91.51  49  15    A 15 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              19.69     14.31                      
67 10-12-2007 Away    W      79.84  36   0    8 23 ( 53- 44-  0) Maynard West Central    8.02     27.98                      
68 10-19-2007 Home    W      85.58  47   6    8 20 ( 45- 47-  0) Lansing Kee            13.76     27.24                      
69 10-26-2007 Away    W      66.73  25  14    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan          -5.10     16.10                      
70 10-31-2007 Home    W     109.89  47   0    A 10 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama       38.07      8.93                      
71 11-05-2007 Away    W      61.58  21  14    A 25 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                -10.24     17.24                      
72 11-09-2007 Neutral W      83.60  28  21    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 11.78     -4.78                      
73 11-16-2007 Neutral W      64.71  22  14   1A 31 ( 42- 54-  0) Lawton-Bronson         -7.12     15.12                      
74 08-29-2008 Away    L   *  52.46   8  28   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley         -19.36     -0.64  non-district        
75 09-05-2008 Home    W *    83.15  37   0   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  11.33     25.67  non-district        
76 09-12-2008 Home    L      38.67   0  14    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan         -33.15     19.15                      
77 09-19-2008 Away    W      50.17  34   7    8 52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland       -21.65     48.65                      
78 09-26-2008 Away    W      62.58  28  20    A 25 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 -9.24     17.24                      
79 10-03-2008 Home    W      43.02  29  12    A 47 ( 14- 49-  0) Don Bosco             -28.80     45.80                      
80 10-10-2008 Home    W      92.51  35   0    A 15 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              20.69     14.31                      
81 10-17-2008 Away    L      51.39  27  29 1  A 28 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central       -20.43     18.43                      
82 10-24-2008 Away    W      99.23  41   6    A 11 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           27.41      7.59                      
83 10-29-2008 Away    W      86.37  33  16    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman      14.55      2.45                      
84 11-03-2008 Home    L      46.67  10  16 1  A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan         -25.15     19.15                      
85 08-28-2009 Home    L   *  48.40  13  34   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley         -23.42      2.42  nd                  
86 09-04-2009 Away    W *    84.21  35   0   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  12.38     22.62  nd                  
87 09-11-2009 Away    W      82.73  40  13    A 23 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan          10.90     16.10                      
88 09-18-2009 Home    W     102.12  82   0    8 52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland        30.30     51.70                      
89 09-25-2009 Home    W      78.52  42  15    A 25 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                  6.70     20.30                      
90 10-02-2009 Away    W      73.08  50   6    A 47 ( 14- 49-  0) Don Bosco               1.26     42.74                      
91 10-09-2009 Away    W     106.57  46   0    A 15 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              34.74     11.26                      
92 10-16-2009 Home    W      53.34  13  10    A 28 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central       -18.49     21.49                      
93 10-23-2009 Home    W     108.18  47   0    A 11 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           36.36     10.64                      
94 10-28-2009 Home    W      59.41  27   7    8 27 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli               -12.41     32.41                      
95 11-02-2009 Home    L      52.32   0  14    A  6 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman     -19.50      5.50                      
96 08-27-2010 Home    W *    66.15  40  20   2A 51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  -5.67     25.67  ND                  
97 09-03-2010 Away    W *    62.59  21  20   2A 34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                 -9.23     10.23  ND                  
98 09-10-2010 Home    W   *  78.01  30   0   1A 42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue                6.19     23.81                      
99 09-17-2010 Away    W   *  73.62  35  17   1A 37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR           1.80     16.20                      
100 09-24-2010 Home    W   * 105.43  48   0   1A 28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   33.61     14.39                      
101 10-01-2010 Away    L   *  57.32   7  17   1A 17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -14.50      4.50                      
102 10-08-2010 Home    W   *  93.64  62   7   1A 55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn             21.82     33.18                      
103 10-15-2010 Away    W   *  81.46  21  12   1A 12 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley           9.64     -0.64                      
104 10-22-2010 Home    L   *  41.73  14  41   1A 14 ( 64- 34-  0) Arlington Starmont    -30.10      3.10                      
105 10-27-2010 Home    W      74.51  35   0   1A 54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                 2.69     32.31                      
106 11-01-2010 Away    L      54.12   9  28   1A 10 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -17.70     -1.30                      
      Averages              71.99  28.6 11.5

Best game:  109.89 = 47 point win over Traer North Tama
Worst game:  38.67 = 14 point loss to Winthrop East Buchanan
Team stdev:  18.16