BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairbank Wapsie Valley

Class: 1A Class Rank: 10 Conference: 1A-5 Record: (10-6-0) Overall: (76-30-0) Overall Strength =   71.99

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Home    W    54.15  14   6   2A  51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                 -17.67     25.67                      
  2 09/07/2001 Away    L    54.59   0   7   2A  34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                -17.23     10.23                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W    70.51  28   0   1A  51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett              -1.31     29.31                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W *  72.06  21   0   1A  42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue                0.24     20.76                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    W    63.33  14   0    A  31 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     -8.49     22.49                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W    98.33  55   7    A  29 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central        26.51     21.49                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    W *  83.43  34   8   1A  28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   11.61     14.39                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W *  86.70  45   0   1A  55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn             14.88     30.12                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W    78.09  50   0    8  42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton               6.27     43.73                      
 10 10/31/2001 Home    W    49.27  17  14    A  31 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -22.55     25.55                      
 11 11/05/2001 Away    L    51.14   0  34   1A   4 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP          -20.68    -13.32                      
 12 09/06/2002 Away    W    68.20  31  12   2A  51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  -3.62     22.62                      
 13 09/13/2002 Home    W    89.42  31   0   ZZ  57 ( 17- 12-  0) Sumner                 17.60     13.40                      
 14 09/20/2002 Home    W    73.32  20  13    A   7 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman       1.50      5.50                      
 15 09/27/2002 Away    W    97.10  50   0    A  34 ( 30- 62-  0) Rockford               25.28     24.72                      
 16 10/04/2002 Away    L    69.72  21  25   1A   9 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar           -2.10     -1.90                      
 17 10/11/2002 Home    L *  64.40  21  26   1A  13 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley          -7.42      2.42                      
 18 10/18/2002 Home    W    65.53  14   7   2A  34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                 -6.29     13.29                      
 19 10/25/2002 Away    W    95.39  42   0    A  29 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central        23.57     18.43                      
 20 11/01/2002 Home    W    86.05  47   0   ZZ  72 ( 34- 50-  0) Cedar Falls NU         14.23     32.77                      
 21 09/05/2003 Home    L    44.15  12  14   2A  51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                 -27.67     25.67                      
 22 09/12/2003 Away    W    71.48  24  14   ZZ  57 ( 17- 12-  0) Sumner                 -0.34     10.34                      
 23 09/19/2003 Away    L    57.37   0  12    A   7 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman     -14.45      2.45                      
 24 09/26/2003 Home    W    62.05  34  16    A  34 ( 30- 62-  0) Rockford               -9.77     27.77                      
 25 10/03/2003 Home    L    55.67   6  21   1A   9 ( 69- 33-  0) Saint Ansgar          -16.15      1.15                      
 26 10/10/2003 Away    W *  73.46  22  21   1A  13 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley           1.64     -0.64                      
 27 10/17/2003 Away    L    59.59   7   9   2A  34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                -12.23     10.23                      
 28 10/24/2003 Home    W    73.33  29   6    A  29 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central         1.51     21.49                      
 29 10/31/2003 Away    W    97.11  55   0   ZZ  72 ( 34- 50-  0) Cedar Falls NU         25.29     29.71                      
 30 09/03/2004 Away    W   109.37  40   0    A   7 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman      37.55      2.45                      
 31 09/10/2004 Home    L    81.08  20  21 1 1A   4 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP            9.26    -10.26                      
 32 09/17/2004 Away    L    70.12  20  21 1 ZZ  43 ( 72- 28-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R   -1.70      0.70                      
 33 09/24/2004 Home    L    62.59  14  24   1A   8 ( 75- 34-  0) Dike-New Hartford      -9.23     -0.77                      
 34 10/01/2004 Home    L    47.31  12  18 2 1A  34 ( 37- 55-  0) Nashua-Plainfield     -24.51     18.51                      
 35 10/08/2004 Away    W    56.20  13   6   2A  51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                 -15.62     22.62                      
 36 10/15/2004 Away    L *  53.46   0  19   1A  13 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley         -18.36     -0.64                      
 37 10/22/2004 Home    W    94.90  50   7   1A  39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                 23.08     19.92                      
 38 10/29/2004 Away    L    60.59  16  17   2A  34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                -11.23     10.23                      
 39 09/02/2005 Home    L    61.32   7  12    A   7 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman     -10.50      5.50                      
 40 09/09/2005 Away    L    60.14  21  46   1A   4 ( 89- 19-  0) Aplington AP          -11.68    -13.32                      
 41 09/16/2005 Home    L    54.07   7  21   ZZ  43 ( 72- 28-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R  -17.75      3.75                      
 42 09/23/2005 Away    L    52.64  12  35   1A   8 ( 75- 34-  0) Dike-New Hartford     -19.18     -3.82                      
 43 09/30/2005 Away    L    40.36  12  28   1A  34 ( 37- 55-  0) Nashua-Plainfield     -31.46     15.46                      
 44 10/07/2005 Home    W   108.15  68   6   2A  51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  36.33     25.67                      
 45 10/14/2005 Home    W *  91.40  28   6   1A  13 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley          19.58      2.42                      
 46 10/21/2005 Away    W    88.95  40   6   1A  39 ( 29- 63-  0) Hudson                 17.13     16.87                      
 47 10/28/2005 Home    L    53.53  14  19   2A  34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                -18.29     13.29                      
 48 09/01/2006 Away    W    76.46  25   7    8  13 ( 49- 44-  0) Riceville               4.64     13.36                      
 49 09/08/2006 Home    W    75.09  47   0    8  42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton               3.27     43.73                      
 50 09/15/2006 Away    W    91.23  33   6    A  12 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           19.41      7.59                      
 51 09/22/2006 Home    W    73.41  34   0    8  28 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli                 1.59     32.41                      
 52 09/29/2006 Away    W    86.17  71   8    8  52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland        14.35     48.65                      
 53 10/06/2006 Away    W    62.56  28  26 1  A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              -9.26     11.26                      
 54 10/13/2006 Home    W    66.78  26   0    8  24 ( 53- 44-  0) Maynard West Central   -5.04     31.04                      
 55 10/20/2006 Away    W    68.63  21   0    8  21 ( 45- 47-  0) Lansing Kee            -3.19     24.19                      
 56 10/27/2006 Home    W    93.67  48   7    A  24 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan          21.85     19.15                      
 57 11/01/2006 Home    W    71.52  20   0    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 -0.30     20.30                      
 58 11/06/2006 Away    W    65.56  19  14    A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              -6.26     11.26                      
 59 11/11/2006 Neutral W    83.93  43  14    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             12.11     16.89                      
 60 11/17/2006 Neutral L    44.18  13  33   ZZ  51 ( 38- 29-  0) Manilla IKM           -27.64      7.64                      
 61 08/31/2007 Home    W    88.41  39   6    8  13 ( 49- 44-  0) Riceville              16.59     16.41                      
 62 09/07/2007 Away    W    78.14  47   0    8  42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton               6.32     40.68                      
 63 09/14/2007 Home    W    98.18  37   0    A  12 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           26.36     10.64                      
 64 09/21/2007 Away    W    63.47  28   7    8  28 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli                -8.36     29.36                      
 65 09/28/2007 Home    W    45.12  39  14    8  52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland       -26.70     51.70  non-district        
 66 10/05/2007 Home    W    91.51  49  15    A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              19.69     14.31                      
 67 10/12/2007 Away    W    79.84  36   0    8  24 ( 53- 44-  0) Maynard West Central    8.02     27.98                      
 68 10/19/2007 Home    W    85.58  47   6    8  21 ( 45- 47-  0) Lansing Kee            13.76     27.24                      
 69 10/26/2007 Away    W    66.72  25  14    A  24 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan          -5.10     16.10                      
 70 10/31/2007 Home    W   109.89  47   0    A  11 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama       38.07      8.93                      
 71 11/05/2007 Away    W    61.58  21  14    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                -10.24     17.24                      
 72 11/09/2007 Neutral W    83.60  28  21    A   2 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 11.78     -4.78                      
 73 11/16/2007 Neutral W    64.71  22  14   1A  31 ( 42- 54-  0) Lawton-Bronson         -7.11     15.11                      
 74 08/29/2008 Away    L *  52.46   8  28   1A  13 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley         -19.36     -0.64  non-district        
 75 09/05/2008 Home    W    83.15  37   0   2A  51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  11.33     25.67  non-district        
 76 09/12/2008 Home    L    38.67   0  14    A  24 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan         -33.15     19.15                      
 77 09/19/2008 Away    W    50.17  34   7    8  52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland       -21.65     48.65                      
 78 09/26/2008 Away    W    62.58  28  20    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 -9.24     17.24                      
 79 10/03/2008 Home    W    43.02  29  12    A  47 ( 14- 49-  0) Don Bosco             -28.80     45.80                      
 80 10/10/2008 Home    W    92.51  35   0    A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              20.69     14.31                      
 81 10/17/2008 Away    L    51.39  27  29 1  A  29 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central       -20.43     18.43                      
 82 10/24/2008 Away    W    99.23  41   6    A  12 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           27.41      7.59                      
 83 10/29/2008 Away    W    86.37  33  16    A   7 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman      14.55      2.45                      
 84 11/03/2008 Home    L    46.67  10  16 1  A  24 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan         -25.15     19.15                      
 85 08/28/2009 Home    L *  48.40  13  34   1A  13 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley         -23.42      2.42  nd                  
 86 09/04/2009 Away    W    84.20  35   0   2A  51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  12.38     22.62  nd                  
 87 09/11/2009 Away    W    82.72  40  13    A  24 ( 60- 38-  0) East Buchanan          10.90     16.10                      
 88 09/18/2009 Home    W   102.12  82   0    8  52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland        30.30     51.70                      
 89 09/25/2009 Home    W    78.52  42  15    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                  6.70     20.30                      
 90 10/02/2009 Away    W    73.08  50   6    A  47 ( 14- 49-  0) Don Bosco               1.26     42.74                      
 91 10/09/2009 Away    W   106.56  46   0    A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              34.74     11.26                      
 92 10/16/2009 Home    W    53.33  13  10    A  29 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central       -18.49     21.49                      
 93 10/23/2009 Home    W   108.18  47   0    A  12 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           36.36     10.64                      
 94 10/28/2009 Home    W    59.41  27   7    8  28 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli               -12.41     32.41                      
 95 11/02/2009 Home    L    52.32   0  14    A   7 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman     -19.50      5.50                      
 96 08/27/2010 Home    W    66.15  40  20   2A  51 ( 28- 63-  0) Jesup                  -5.67     25.67  ND                  
 97 09/03/2010 Away    W    62.59  21  20   2A  34 ( 37- 54-  0) Denver                 -9.23     10.23  ND                  
 98 09/10/2010 Home    W *  78.01  30   0   1A  42 ( 42- 50-  0) Bellevue                6.19     23.81                      
 99 09/17/2010 Away    W *  73.62  35  17   1A  37 ( 50- 47-  0) Guttenberg CR           1.80     16.20                      
100 09/24/2010 Home    W * 105.43  48   0   1A  28 ( 69- 28-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   33.61     14.39                      
101 10/01/2010 Away    L *  57.32   7  17   1A  17 ( 56- 41-  0) Maquoketa Valley      -14.50      4.50                      
102 10/08/2010 Home    W *  93.64  62   7   1A  55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn             21.82     33.18                      
103 10/15/2010 Away    W *  81.46  21  12   1A  13 ( 64- 32-  0) Turkey Valley           9.64     -0.64                      
104 10/22/2010 Home    L *  41.72  14  41   1A  15 ( 64- 34-  0) Arlington Starmont    -30.10      3.10                      
105 10/27/2010 Home    W    74.51  35   0   1A  54 ( 38- 55-  0) Wapello                 2.69     32.31                      
106 11/01/2010 Away    L    54.12   9  28   1A  11 ( 89- 20-  0) West Branch           -17.70     -1.30                      
      Averages              71.99  28.6 11.5

Best game:  109.89 = 47 point win over Traer North Tama
Worst game:  38.67 = 14 point loss to Winthrop East Buchanan
Team stdev:  18.16